拉丁美洲 is heading towards several high-stakes elections in the coming quarters that have the potential to significantly affect policy direction and investment in the short and long term. The Covid-19 pandemic has broadly weakened household incomes and highlighted many of the region’s structural weaknesses, which will likely drive anti-incumbent sentiment ahead of major elections in 智利, 阿根廷, 哥伦比亚 and 巴西.

此外, many 拉丁美洲n governments face more difficult policymaking environments and less favourable conditions for implementing market-friendly reforms. Tensions between presidents and legislators, or between the executive branch and other state institutions, will underpin elevated political risks in the quarters ahead.

主题s covered will include:

  • Key elections in 智利, 阿根廷, 哥伦比亚 and 巴西 in Q421 and 2022
  • Ongoing political risks throughout the region tied to Covid-19 responses, disagreements about policy direction and intragovernmental tensions
  • Resource nationalism and risks to extractive industries throughout 拉丁美洲

李·萨顿

Senior 国家风险 Analyst, Americas

李·萨顿 joined the Fitch Solutions Americas 国家风险 team in 2017 and currently covers 哥伦比亚, 秘鲁 and several smaller markets across the region. His research interests include 中国’s diplomatic and economic engagement with 拉丁美洲, US foreign policy toward the region and the longer-term political impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. Prior to joining Fitch Solutions, Lee worked in US governmental relations and international affairs in Washington DC, and holds a Masters in International Relations and International Economics from the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University.

THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS COUNTRY RISK & INDUSTRY RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on 网赌娱乐正规真人(Fitch Ratings)' Credit Ratings. Any comments or data are solely derived from Fitch Solutions 国家风险 & 行业研究 and independent sources. 网赌娱乐正规真人(Fitch Ratings) analysts do not share data or information with Fitch Solutions 国家风险 & 行业研究.

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